Mr.
Romney, who was still duking it out in his own primary campaign, did
not start airing ads in earnest until the fall. By then, he was well
defined in the public’s eye.
“President
Obama’s super PAC ran an ad that basically accused Mitt Romney of
giving a woman cancer,” Mr. Williams said. “The ads were outrageous,
offensive and widely panned by the media and fact checkers. But
unfortunately, with several million dollars behind them, they were
effective in damaging his image.”
The
enduring potency of negative ads has helped the Republican candidates
define opponents other than Mr. Trump. In December and January, a super
PAC supporting Senator Marco Rubio of Florida took aim at Gov. Chris
Christie of New Jersey as Mr. Christie was making a late push in New
Hampshire. The ads, which painted Mr. Christie as corrupt and too close
to Mr. Obama, took a toll, and Mr. Christie, who wound up finishing
sixth in New Hampshire, was forced from the race.
Right
to Rise also used its advertising budget to reinforce negative
perceptions about Mr. Rubio, which, coupled with a poor debate
performance, halted his early rise.
But
in those cases, the targets were easier: Neither Mr. Rubio nor Mr.
Christie was particularly well known at a granular level among voters,
so new information helped shape voters’ perceptions. Mr. Trump is an
established brand for many people, which means that damaging his
reputation is likely to require a more concentrated effort.
To
that end, Priorities USA — the super PAC supporting Mrs. Clinton, which
also backed Mr. Obama in 2012 — has begun reserving $70 million in
television ad time from the Democratic convention in late July through
Election Day, air time that is almost certain to be dedicated to
ravaging Mr. Trump if he is the nominee.
Steve Murphy, a veteran Democratic ad maker, said that Mr. Trump should view the primaries as a mere taste of what is to come.
“Ask
Donald Trump if he thinks negative ads hurt him in Wisconsin,” Mr.
Murphy said. “Then tell him the Democrats have another half a billion
dollars’ worth ready to go in the general.”
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